Photo: Leon Neal / Getty Images News / Getty Images
The newest polling from UT and the Texas Politics Project shows Donald Trump and Ted Cruz holding on to healthy leads in their respective races.
Trump leads Vice-President Kamala Harris 51% to 46% among likely voters in the presidential race in Texas. In the Senate race, incumbent Republican Ted Cruz holds a 7-point lead among likely voters over his Democratic challenger, Congressman Colin Allred, 51% to 44%.
The lead that Trump holds in this poll is less than what Nate Silver at 538.com gave him (6.5 percentage points. But the seven point lead Cruz currently enjoys is the largest number we've seen since the summer, when some of the polls had him up by nine.
According to pollsters James Henson and Joshua Blank, "Most Texas voters have settled on their choice for president and say they are unlikely to change their minds, leaving relatively few persuadable voters for the campaigns to focus their efforts on during the final weeks of the campaign. Among likely voters, nearly 4 out of five (79%) say they are “not at all likely” to change their minds before they vote, with another 9% “not very likely” to shift their choice. Only 3% say they are “very likely” to change their minds, with 6% “somewhat likely.” Slightly more Trump supporters say they are “not all likely” to change their minds (83%) compared to Harris voters (79%). Among the small group of voters supporting third party candidates in the presidential race, nearly a third (32%) say they are somewhat likely (28%) or very likely (4%) to change their minds before casting their votes."