People who are either too gullible, or too incompetent to be well-informed, like to say Donald Trump was some racist dictator. Since 2016, they have screamed about him wanting to get rid of civil rights, and acted as if he would throw all homosexuals in prison. In reality, Trump was probably the most centered Conservative to ever hold the Presidency, and actually did more for minorities, and the gay community, than almost any other President.
Enter President Joe Biden, who has immediately reversed course on every single positive change Trump made across the board, but especially for minorities. Black unemployment was down under Trump and has since been risen back to previous levels by Biden. This, plus failing to come through on basic Democratic principles, has led to a dramatic shift in minority voting.
Especially present in the last 8 years, minority voters have started shifting to the GOP more, and are now doing so at record levels. Political strategist Vlad Davidiuk says this is a bed of the Democrats own making.
"They just have not fulfilled their promises, they have not come to the table with anything of substance, it is just unfulfilled promises," he says. "The values and the political alignment of the issues do not match their expectations from their historical preferences."
Historically, just about all minorities lean convincingly to the Left, especially when it comes to the black vote.
Looking at past elections, most GOP presidential candidates gather around 10 percent of the black vote, give or take maybe one or two percent. But with this failure by Biden, and a resurgence by Trump, 2024 might be a perfect storm for history-making.
"This bodes well for Trump in November...since exit polling began in 1972, the highest percentage of the black vote for a GOP candidate was Richard Nixon at 18 percent," he says. "Trump may double that number...he may go around 20 or 21 percent."
The shift has been rapid too. Between 1998 and 2022, just 11 percent of black Americans identified as Republican. In this election cycle, 19 percent of black Americans identify as Republican.
But basic history is not the only reason this is a big deal.
"If Trump has 20 or more percent of the black vote...that is a huge blow to the Leftist cause...they rely strongly on those voters, who they have taken for granted the last 50 years," he says.
Of course, November remains to be seen. But if things are shaking out the way they look right now, Trump will run away with the presidency. Not only that, but he'll deliver a potentially fatal blow to the Democrats.
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